According to previous reports from Zombie, BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes opened a short position due to concerns that Bitcoin would fall below the psychological threshold of $50000 over the weekend. Although Bitcoin did experience further declines over the weekend, it did not drop to $50000.

Arthur Hayes posted on X on September 8th stating that he has closed short positions and achieved a 3% profit, and pointed out that US Treasury Secretary Yellen's weekend remarks have added confidence to the market's "soft landing".

Meanwhile, Arthur Hayes also hinted that if the financial market continues to collapse and fall next week, it will force Yelun (the Ministry of Finance), who is observing the market, to intervene and inject liquidity into the market to drive recovery. If the US economy injects more liquidity, it may significantly boost the confidence of cryptocurrency investors and drive up the price of Bitcoin.

According to Jamie Coutts, Chief Crypto Analyst at Real Vision, the M2 money supply in the United States (which estimates cash and short-term bank deposits across the country) may be the key to the next wave of Bitcoin's rebound. He once stated in an X tweet:

This is because M2 is highly correlated with the bull market cycle of Bitcoin. Among the three main indicators of the Bitcoin/liquidity framework that I track, global M2 seems to capture most of the volatility

In addition, Jamie Coutts further added that the trend of Bitcoin usually follows the speed of changes in the M2 money supply, rather than its nominal value. In early May this year, the M2 money supply turned positive year-on-year for the first time since November 2023, indicating that investors may soon turn to assets that hedge against inflation, such as Bitcoin.

(责任编辑：宏观研究)

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